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Economic and political outline

Economic indicators | Foreign Trade in figures | Sources of general economic information | Political outline

Economic indicators

Guatemala’s economy had been shattered by the civil war that lasted for many years. However, the situation started to recover in 2004 with a GDP growth rate of 3.2% which further improved to 3.5% in 2005, due mainly to public & private spending and transfer of money by expatriates. GDP growth reached 4.9% in 2006 then 5.7% in 2007. It is estimated at 4.3% for 2008. Currently, the Guatemalan State emphasizes on social policies in the areas of health and education. Guatemala is aware of the fact that criminality and corruption hinder tourism and business and has been putting in place important reforms since 2004.

 
Main indicators 20062007200820092010
GDP (billions USD) 30.2634.0238.9638.1439.07e
GDP (constant prices, annual % change) 5.46.34.01.0e1.8e
GDP per capita (USD) 2,3252,550e2,8482,7212,721
Inflation rate (%) 6.66.811.4e4.85.7e
Current Account (billions USD) -1.52-1.77-1.86e-1.51e-1.92e
Current Account (in % of GDP) -5.0-5.2-4.8-4.0e-4.9

Source: IMF - World Economic Outlook Database ; ILO, Laborstat - Yearly Statistics

Note: (e) Estimated data

Main sectors of industry

The agriculture sector accounts for 22.7% of the GDP and employs more than 50% of the active population.  The country produces and exports mainly coffee, sugar, bananas, cotton, rubber, cardamon and a variety of precious woods and exotic fruits.  The country has a small mining industry and extracts copper, zinc, iron and nickel.
The industry sector accounts for approximately 13% of the GDP and is mainly in textile.  Paper, pharmaceutical as well as rubber transformation industries account for more or less the entire industrial activities of the country.  It has to be noted that since Guatemala's entry into the Free Trade Areas of the Americas (FTAA) put in place by the United States, the customs advantages have brought growth to American investment and company establishment  in the country.  For 2007, the sector's production increased by 5%.
The third sector accounts for the biggest part of the GDP: 64.3%. The tourism industry is very dynamic and continues to grow.  A lot of effort have been made to fight criminality and give Guatemala an image of a safe country.

 
Breakdown of economic activity by sector Agriculture Industry Services
Employment by sector (in % of total employment) - - -
Value added (in % of GDP) 10.7 27.9 61.4
Value added (annual % change) 3.9 4.8 6.6

- last available data.

 
Monetary indicators 20042005200620072008
Guatemala Quetzal (GTQ) - Average annual exchange rate for 1 USD 7.957.637.607.677.56

Source: World Bank - World Development Indicators

 

Indicator of economic freedom

Score:
59.4/100
Position:
mostly unfree
World Rank:
87 out of 179
Regional Rank:
18 out of 29

Distribution of Economic freedom in the world
Source: 2008 Index of Economic freedom, Heritage Foundation

 

Country risk

See the country risk analysis provided by Ducroire.

 

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Foreign trade in figures

Guatemala is one of the 5 Central American Common Market (CACM) countries along with Costa Rica, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua. The FTAA or the ALCA was signed by Guatemala in 2004.  This agreement is characterized by an advantageous customs union for Central-American countries, Mexico, United States and Canada.
The main export products are coffeee, sugar, petrol, textile (fabrication), fruits and vegetables and cardamon.  Guatemala's main export partners are: the United States (39.6%), El Salvador (13.3%), Honduras (8.1%), Mexico (5.9%), Nicaragua (4.4%) and Costa Rica (4.2%).
The main import partners are: the United States (32.6%), Mexico (9.3%), China (6.5%), El Salvador (5.6%) and South Korea (5.1%).

 
Foreign trade indicators 20032004200520062007
Imports of goods (millions USD) 6,1768,7379,65010,93412,482
Exports of goods (millions USD) 3,0605,1055,4596,0827,012
Imports of services (millions USD) 1,1261,3441,4501,7852,029
Exports of services (millions USD) 1,0591,1001,3081,5191,709
Imports of goods and services (annual % change) 0.55.7-0.66.57.0
Exports of goods and services (annual % change) -0.58.2-2.14.810.8
Imports of goods and services (in % of GDP) 40.242.141.041.942.4
Exports of goods and services (in % of GDP) 25.827.025.125.025.6
Trade Balance (millions USD) -3,116-3,632-4,191-4,852-5,470
Trade Balance (including service) (millions USD) -3,183-3,876-4,332-5,118-5,790
Foreign trade (in % of GDP) 66.069.166.066.968.1

Source: World Bank

 

Main partner countries

Main customers
(% of exports)
2008
United States 39.4%
El Salvador 12.6%
Honduras 9.5%
Mexico 6.6%
Nicaragua 4.2%
See more countries 27.7%
Main suppliers
(% of imports)
2008
United States 36.7%
Mexico 9.7%
China 5.8%
El Salvador 4.7%
Neth. Antilles 3.2%
See more countries 39.9%

Source: Comtrade

Main products

Main exports
(% of exports)
2008
Articles of apparel and clothing accessories,...Articles of apparel and clothing accessories, knitted or crocheted 12.1%
Coffee, tea, maté and spicesCoffee, tea, maté and spices 11.1%
Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their...Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation; bituminous substances; mineral waxes 7.0%
Edible fruit and nuts; peel of citrus fruits or...Edible fruit and nuts; peel of citrus fruits or melons 6.3%
Sugars and sugar confectionerySugars and sugar confectionery 5.8%
See more products 57.7%
Main imports
(% of imports)
2008
Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their...Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation; bituminous substances; mineral waxes 19.6%
Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and...Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and mechanical appliances; parts thereof 7.7%
Electrical machinery and equipment and parts...Electrical machinery and equipment and parts thereof; sound recorders and reproducers, television image and sound recorders and reproducers, and parts and accessories of such articles 7.4%
Vehicles other than railway or tramway...Vehicles other than railway or tramway rolling-stock, and parts and accessories thereof 6.7%
Plastics and articles thereofPlastics and articles thereof 5.5%
See more products 53.1%

Source: Comtrade

 
See more products
More imports (Intracen Data)
More exports (Intracen Data)

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Sources of general economic information

Ministries
Ministry of Economy (Spanish only)
Ministry of Public Finance (Spanish only)
Chamber of Industry (Spanish only)
Chamber of Commerce (Spanish only)
Statistical Office
National Institute of Statistics (Spanish only)
The Secretariat of Central American Economic Intergration
Central Bank
Central Bank of Guatemala
Bank supervision (Spanish only)
Stock Exchange
Guatemala Stock Exchange (Spanish only)
Search Engines
Guatemalaweb
Guatemarket.com
Yahoo directory
Google.es
Economic portals
Deguate (Spanish only)

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Political outline

Executive Power
President is both the chief of State and head of government. He holds the executive powers which include implementing the law and running the day-to-day affairs. The Council of Ministers is appointed by the President. The president is elected by popular vote for a term of four years.
Legislative Power
The Guatemalan legislative power is unicameral. Parliament, known as the Congress of the Republic, has 158 members who are elected by popular vote for a term of four years. The country's constitution provides for the separation of executive, legislative, and judiciary powers. The president cannot dissolve the parliament however, he has the power to veto acts of parliament which in turn can be overridden by a legislative supermajority.
Main political parties
Guatemala has a multi-party system, with 2 or 3 strong parties. The main political parties are follows:
- UNE: (National Unity for Hope) - a left-wing, nationalist gathering of political parties. It is currently the majority party; and has 30% of the parliamentary seats. It is the actual president's party.

- GANA: (Grand National Alliance) - which currently has 23% of the parliamentary seats.
- PP: (Patriotic party - nationalist party), it has 19% of the parliamentary seats.
- Then the FRG (Guatemalan Republican Front) (9%), conservative, whose electorate base is found in the rural population and the PU ( Union Party), 5%.  There are a myriad of other parties which collectively account for the remaining 14% of the seats.

Current political leaders
President: Alvaro COLOM Caballeros (since January 14th, 2008) - UNE
Vice President: Rafael ESPADA (since January 14th, 2008)
Next election dates
Presidential: August 2011
Parliamentary:August 2011
 

Indicator of freedom of the press

World Rank:
101/173
Evolution:
3 places up compared to 2007

Source: Worldwide Press Freedom Index 2007, Reporters Without Borders

 

Indicator of political freedom

Ranking:
Partly Free
Political freedom:
3/7
Civil liberties:
4/7

Map of freedom 2007
Source: Freedom House

 

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Last updates: October 2009