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Economic and political outline

Economic indicators | Foreign Trade in figures | Sources of general economic information | Political outline

Economic indicators

Since the early 1990s, successive governments have gradually promoted a liberal economic policy to privatize the companies owned by the state (around 30% of GDP in 2006 was generated by domestic firms). Following its accession to the European Union in January 2007, Romania will begin a new phase of economic growth with substantial foreign investment. Like many countries of the former Soviet bloc, its economy has been transformed into a market economy. The GDP growth was 8.4% in 2004, and fell significantly to 4.1% in 2005 due to flooding and increased imports, but increased again to 7.7% in 2006 and is expected to remain above 6% in 2007 and 2008 according to IMF forecasts. This indicates very strong growth and Romania is the second most dynamic country in terms of GDP growth in the region behind Poland.

 

There was a continued decline in inflation over the past decade to 154.8% in 1997 to 4.8% in 2007. The Romania National Bank (central bank) has strengthened its monetary policy due to the severe depreciation of the national currency. The unemployment rate is only 4.1% of the workforce which is relatively low and reflects the movement towards rapid growth. However, Romania still remains one of Europe's poorest countries but it has considerable potential for development because of its rich agricultural land, a well-educated and skilled workforce, and tourism.

 
Main indicators 20062007200820092010
GDP (billions USD) 122.70169.29199.67e166.47166.08
GDP (constant prices, annual % change) 7.96.27.1e-4.1-0.0
GDP per capita (USD) 5,6707,8509,292e7,774e7,782
Inflation rate (%) 6.64.87.8e5.9e3.9e
Unemployment rate (% of the labor force) --3.6--
Current Account (billions USD) -12.75-23.45-25.18e-12.53-10.85
Current Account (in % of GDP) -10.4-13.9-12.6-7.5e-6.5

Source: IMF - World Economic Outlook Database ; CIA - The world factbook

Note: (e) Estimated data

Main sectors of industry

In 2007, the Romanian GDP was approximately 166 billion dollars (USD), which represents 11,100 dollars (USD) per capita. This per capita growth has created an emerging middle class over the past few years. The composition of the GDP is evolving into that of a market economy Starting with the services sector (56.5% of GDP in 2007), then the industrial sector (35.6%) and agriculture (7.9 %). This trend is also reflected in the distribution of the labor force by industry: workers made up 47.1% (in 2006) their positions include jobs in the tertiary sector, 29.7% in agriculture and 23.2% in branches in the aforementioned sectors. Romania is in transition even though historically, manufacturing and industry were the backbone of its economy. We see many foreign direct investments entering the country, particularly in heavy industry (metallurgy, steel), manufacturing of vehicle parts, building and construction, petroleum refining and textiles. However, new technologies are moving forward thanks to the availability of a more and more highly qualified workforce whose labor costs are lower than the European average. Tourism is a growing industry as well. The main cash crops in Romania are cereals, sugar beet, and potatoes but the yield remains very low in comparison with the capacity of the countries agricultural potential. About 25% of the country is covered by forests (especially around Transylvania) and the logging industry is developing very quickly.

 
Breakdown of economic activity by sector Agriculture Industry Services
Employment by sector (in % of total employment) 32.1 30.3 37.5
Value added (in % of GDP) 9.0 36.1 55.0
Value added (annual % change) 6.0 6.0 6.0

- last available data.

 
Monetary indicators 20042005200620072008
Romanian New Leu (RON) - Average annual exchange rate for 1 USD 3.262.912.812.442.52

Source: World Bank - World Development Indicators

 

Indicator of economic freedom

Score:
63.2/100
Position:
moderately free
World Rank:
65 out of 179
Regional Rank:
29 out of 44

Distribution of Economic freedom in the world
Source: 2008 Index of Economic freedom, Heritage Foundation

 

Country risk

See the country risk analysis provided by Ducroire.

 

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Foreign trade in figures

In exports, Romania's main commercial partners are in descending order: Germany, Italy, France and Turkey. The Romanian exports have shown an increase of almost 30% over the last two years. Imports in turn follow the same trend but with a slightly higher volume (an increase of 56%).

These results show that Romania still dependent on imports. The economic crisis accentuated the global trade deficit in the balance of payments over the period from January to September 2008 which reached EUR 12,704 million (or 14.8% more than during the same period in 2007).

 
Foreign trade indicators 20032004200520062007
Imports of goods (millions USD) 22,15530,15037,34847,17264,689
Exports of goods (millions USD) 17,61823,48527,73032,33640,349
Imports of services (millions USD) 2,9583,8795,5187,02710,169
Exports of services (millions USD) 3,0283,6145,0837,03210,445
Imports of goods and services (annual % change) 13.618.33.78.612.0
Exports of goods and services (annual % change) 7.115.94.210.312.0
Imports of goods and services (in % of GDP) 42.245.043.344.143.7
Exports of goods and services (in % of GDP) 34.735.932.933.731.3
Trade Balance (millions USD) -4,537-6,665-9,618-14,836-24,340
Trade Balance (including service) (millions USD) -4,467-6,930-10,053-14,831-24,064
Foreign trade (in % of GDP) 76.981.076.277.875.0

Source: World Bank

 

Main partner countries

Main customers
(% of exports)
2008
Germany 16.5%
Italy 15.5%
France 7.4%
Turkey 6.6%
Hungary 5.1%
See more countries 48.9%
Main suppliers
(% of imports)
2008
Germany 16.4%
Italy 11.4%
Hungary 7.4%
Russia 6.0%
France 5.7%
See more countries 53.2%

Source: Comtrade

Main products

Main exports
(% of exports)
2008
Electrical machinery and equipment and parts...Electrical machinery and equipment and parts thereof; sound recorders and reproducers, television image and sound recorders and reproducers, and parts and accessories of such articles 13.5%
Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and...Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and mechanical appliances; parts thereof 10.0%
Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their...Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation; bituminous substances; mineral waxes 9.2%
Vehicles other than railway or tramway...Vehicles other than railway or tramway rolling-stock, and parts and accessories thereof 8.3%
Iron and steelIron and steel 7.4%
See more products 51.7%
Main imports
(% of imports)
2008
Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their...Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation; bituminous substances; mineral waxes 12.6%
Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and...Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and mechanical appliances; parts thereof 12.5%
Vehicles other than railway or tramway...Vehicles other than railway or tramway rolling-stock, and parts and accessories thereof 11.4%
Electrical machinery and equipment and parts...Electrical machinery and equipment and parts thereof; sound recorders and reproducers, television image and sound recorders and reproducers, and parts and accessories of such articles 10.8%
Iron and steelIron and steel 4.8%
See more products 47.8%

Source: Comtrade

 
See more products
More imports (Intracen Data)
More exports (Intracen Data)

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Sources of general economic information

Ministries
Romanian Ministry of the Economy and Finance
Statistical Office
National Institute of Romanian Statistics
Central Bank
National Bank of Romania
Stock Exchange
Bucharest Stock Exchange
Search Engines
Rol
Cautare Avansata
Romanian Voice
Economic portals
Portal Info
Afacerinet

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Political outline

Executive Power
The president is the head of state and is elected by universal suffrage for a term of five years. The president is also the commander in chief of the army and responsible for protecting the constitution. Under the Romanian constitution, the president acts as a mediator between the various centers of power in the country. The Prime Minister is appointed by the President (and is usually the leader of the majority party) for a term of four years. The Prime Minister is the head of government and holds executive power, including law enforcement and management of the affairs of the country. The Council of Ministers is appointed by the Prime Minister.
Legislative Power
The legislature in Romania is bicameral. The Parliament consists of: Senate (the upper house) having 137 seats and the Chamber of Deputies (the lower house) having 332 seats. The members of both the houses are elected by direct, popular vote on a proportional representation basis to serve four-year terms. The executive branch of government is directly or indirectly dependent on the support of the parliament, often expressed through a vote of confidence. Prime Minister does not have the power to dissolve the Parliament directly, but President can do so after consultation with the political parties represented in the Parliamnet.The people of Romania have considerable political rights.
Main political parties
Romania has a multi-party system in which the parties usually agree to form coalition governments. The country's main parties are: - The PSD (Social Democrat Party) - which follows the social democratic ideology, - The PNL (National Liberal Party) - advocates liberalism, both economic and social - The PD (Democratic Party ) - follows the ideology of the center-right - PC (Conservative Party) - advocates family values and nationalism, without chauvinism, - The PRM (Party of Great Romania) - is nationalist extreme right.
Current political leaders
President: Traian Basescu (2004-present)-Democratic Party
Prime Minister:Emil BOC (since 22 December 2008)
Next election dates
Presidential elections: November-December 2009
Election for the Chamber of Deputies: November 2012
Senatorial elections: November 2012 
 

Indicator of freedom of the press

World Rank:
50/173
Evolution:
8 places down compared to 2007

Source: Worldwide Press Freedom Index 2007, Reporters Without Borders

 

Indicator of political freedom

Ranking:
Free
Political freedom:
2/7
Civil liberties:
2/7


 

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Last updates: November 2009