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Economic and political outline

Economic indicators | Foreign Trade in figures | Sources of general economic information | Political outline

Economic indicators

Turkey, a country of 74 million inhabitants, has an economy in transition, a relatively high degree of dependence on agriculture and heavy industry, and a tertiary sector in full expansion. After going through a serious economic and political crisis in 2001, Turkey has made a spectacular recovery thanks to a more favorable political climate but also to monetary, fiscal and structural reforms inspired by the World Bank and the IMF. Thus Turkey adopted a floating currency regime and has given total independence to the Central Bank. The GDP growth rate was high in recent years. In 2009, GDP growth was negative because of the international  financial crisis impact, but should start up again from 2010.
The governement is following a budgetary strictness and inflation control policy. However, the current environement makes this orientation more and more difficult to justify to the population. The Turkish economy is also vulnerable because of its great dependence on exports and foreign investments. At the end of 2007, foreign investors held 73% of the Istabul market float, a fact which makes a massive withdrawal by investors and a deterioration of the Turkish lira fearful. The unemployment rate exploded due to the current economic crisis, to settle at 15%. Turkey is affected by the support of a significant informal sector.

 
Main indicators 20062007200820092010
GDP (billions USD) 529.19649.13729.44e552.18535.32e
GDP (constant prices, annual % change) 6.94.71.1e-5.1e1.5e
GDP per capita (USD) 7,7679,42210,472e7,840e7,517e
Inflation rate (%) 9.68.810.46.96.8
Unemployment rate (% of the labor force) 9.99.8---
Current Account (billions USD) -31.89-37.68-41.42e-6.65-8.35
Current Account (in % of GDP) -6.0-5.8-5.7e-1.2e-1.6e

Source: IMF - World Economic Outlook Database

Note: (e) Estimated data

Main sectors of industry

Agriculture in Turkey, which contributes nearly 10% of the GDP and employs practically a third of the population, still suffers from low productivity because of its management system (small farms). Wheat is the main crop. The country is the third biggest exporter of tobacco in the world, the leading producer of hazelnuts (70% of world production). Mineral resources are abundant but under-exploited.
The manufacturing industry makes up nearly 30% of the GDP, the textile and automobile sectors being the main activities. The Turkish government gives special priority to large infrastructure projects, particularly in the transport sector, which mostly function under the BOT model (build, operate, transfer).
The tertiary sector contributes slightly less than two-thirds to the GDP. Tourism represents 4% of the GDP with about 13 million tourists a year.

 
Breakdown of economic activity by sector Agriculture Industry Services
Employment by sector (in % of total employment) 29.5 24.7 45.8
Value added (in % of GDP) 8.7 28.3 63.0
Value added (annual % change) -6.9 5.8 6.0

- last available data.

 
Monetary indicators 20032004200520062007
Turkish New Lira (TRY) - Average annual exchange rate for 1 USD 1.501.431.341.431.30

Source: World Bank - World Development Indicators

 

Indicator of economic freedom

Score:
61.6/100
Position:
moderately free
World Rank:
75 out of 179
Regional Rank:
31 out of 44

Distribution of Economic freedom in the world
Source: 2008 Index of Economic freedom, Heritage Foundation

 

Country risk

See the country risk analysis provided by Ducroire.

 

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Foreign trade in figures

The spearheads of Turkish foreign trade are the automobile and textile industries, followed by the food industry (raw and processed products), machinery and equipment and electronic equipment sectors respectively. The European Union is by far Turkey's leading customer (56.4% of Turkish exports). Yet the country shows a high trade deficit level because of its high energy dependence on Russia and its Middle Eastern neighbors. In addition, like the household appliance sector, which paradoxically is a high export industry, many components (about 80%) are imported to subsequently be assembled in Turkey. Despite government efforts to promote innovation (namely with the development of competitiveness centers and the establishment of tax credits in favor of Research and Development), Turkish exports have relatively low added value. Similarly, Turkish exports are still not very present on markets with high development potential (China or Eastern Europe) and suffer from being compared to German ones.

 
Foreign trade indicators 20032004200520062007
Imports of goods (millions USD) 65,88391,271111,353134,552162,025
Exports of goods (millions USD) 52,39468,53578,36593,611115,356
Imports of services (millions USD) 7,50210,16311,37611,48114,974
Exports of services (millions USD) 18,01322,96026,64825,31228,853
Imports of goods and services (annual % change) 23.520.812.26.910.7
Exports of goods and services (annual % change) 6.911.27.96.67.3
Imports of goods and services (in % of GDP) 24.026.225.427.627.1
Exports of goods and services (in % of GDP) 23.023.621.922.722.0
Trade Balance (millions USD) -13,489-22,736-32,988-40,941-46,669
Trade Balance (including service) (millions USD) -2,978-9,939-17,716-27,110-32,790
Foreign trade (in % of GDP) 47.049.747.250.349.2

Source: World Bank

 

Main partner countries

Main customers
(% of exports)
2008
Germany 9.8%
United Kingdom 6.2%
United Arab Emirates 6.0%
Italy 5.9%
France 5.0%
See more countries 67.0%
Main suppliers
(% of imports)
2008
Russia 15.5%
Germany 9.3%
China 7.8%
United States 5.9%
Italy 5.5%
See more countries 56.1%

Source: Comtrade

Main products

Main exports
(% of exports)
2008
Vehicles other than railway or tramway...Vehicles other than railway or tramway rolling-stock, and parts and accessories thereof 13.8%
Iron and steelIron and steel 11.3%
Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and...Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and mechanical appliances; parts thereof 7.8%
Electrical machinery and equipment and parts...Electrical machinery and equipment and parts thereof; sound recorders and reproducers, television image and sound recorders and reproducers, and parts and accessories of such articles 6.0%
Articles of apparel and clothing accessories,...Articles of apparel and clothing accessories, knitted or crocheted 5.9%
See more products 55.1%
Main imports
(% of imports)
2008
Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their...Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation; bituminous substances; mineral waxes 16.2%
Iron and steelIron and steel 11.5%
Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and...Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and mechanical appliances; parts thereof 11.3%
Electrical machinery and equipment and parts...Electrical machinery and equipment and parts thereof; sound recorders and reproducers, television image and sound recorders and reproducers, and parts and accessories of such articles 6.7%
Vehicles other than railway or tramway...Vehicles other than railway or tramway rolling-stock, and parts and accessories thereof 6.2%
See more products 48.0%

Source: Comtrade

 
See more products
More imports (Intracen Data)
More exports (Intracen Data)

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Sources of general economic information

Ministries
State Planning Organization
Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs
Ministry of Industry and Trade
Turkish Ministry of Finances
Statistical Office
Turkish Statistical Institute
Central Bank
Central Bank of The Republic of Turkey
Stock Exchange
Istanbul Stock Exchange
Search Engines
Netbul
Turk Evi
Turk Net
Turkey Web
Economic portals
Ministry of Foreign Trade
Capital Markets Board of Turkey

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Political outline

Executive Power
The President of the Republic is the Head of State. He is elected by indirect universal suffrage for a single 7 year term of office, by secret ballot in Parliament. However, following a constitutional change in 2007, the next election (2014) will be by direct universal suffrage. He has the function of an arbitrator (promulgation of laws, signature of decrees..) and he appoints the Prime Minister and the Council of Ministers. The President also appoints the judicial organs and other governmental organs. His role is above all ceremonial but his position benefits from considerable symbolic importance.
The Prime Minister is the head of the government. He is elected by Parliament when there is a vote of confidence in the government, for a five year term of office. He holds the executive power, which includes law enforcement and managing the current business of the country. The government he directs is responsible before Parliament which can overturn it with an absolute majority of its members.
Legislative Power
Legislative power in Turkey is unicameral. The Parliament, called Great National Assembly of Turkey, has 550 seats, and its members are elected by universal suffrage for five years according to a system of proportional representation.
Main political parties
- The AKP (Justice and Development Party) - a conservative party, moderately Islamic
- The CHP (Republican People's Party) - a nationalist, social-democratic party
- The MHP (Nationalist Movement Party) - extreme right nationalist party
- The DEHAP (Democratic People's Party) and Independents - left wing party, pro-Kurd
- The ANAP (Motherland Party) - center right and liberal party
- The DYP ( Just Way Party) - non-religious, right wing conservative party.
Current political leaders
President : Abdullah GÜL (since August 2007) - AKP and former Minister of Foreign Affairs (March 2003 to July 2007 )
Prime Minister: Recep Tayyip ERDOGAN (since March 2003) - AKP
Minister of Foreign Affairs: Ali BABACAN
Minister of Foreign Trade: Kürsad TÜZMEN
Minister of Finance: Kemal UNAKITAN
Minister of the Interior: Besir ATALAY
Next election dates
Presidential : August 2014
Legislative : November 2012
 

Indicator of freedom of the press

World Rank:
103/173
Evolution:
2 places down compared to 2007

Source: Worldwide Press Freedom Index 2007, Reporters Without Borders

 

Indicator of political freedom

Ranking:
Partly Free
Political freedom:
3/7
Civil liberties:
3/7


 

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Last updates: November 2009